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英國9月份的年度消費者價格通脹率下降至1.7%,低于8月份的2.2%,而且這是自2021年4月以來的最低水平。根據英國國家統計局的報告,此次下降歸因于機票和汽油價格的下降,且該數據低于大多數經濟學家預期的1.9%。

(英國通脹數據,來源:英國國家統計局)
此外,私人部門薪資增長在截至8月的三個月內放緩至4.8%,與英格蘭銀行對第三季度4.8%的增長預測一致。此外,英國在截至9月的三個月內,預計職位空缺減少了34,000個,降至841,000個,接近疫情前的水平,進一步表明勞動力市場的降溫。失業率也在截至8月的三個月內降至4.0%,創下今年的最低水平,同時就業人數創下了曆史新高。
因此,這一系列經濟數據加劇了市場對英格蘭銀行降息的預期。利率期貨顯示,投資者認為在今年年底前,英格蘭銀行有90%的可能性進行兩次25個基點的降息,而本周早些時候這一概率為80%。此次的通脹數據消除了貨幣政策委員會在11月會議上投票支持降息25個基點的一個主要障礙。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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